The Hill Poll Week 4

District by district – Florida

FLORIDA-02

Rep. Boyd trails by double digits

Rep.
Allen Boyd (D-Fla.) is down a dozen points in his race against
Republican Steve Southerland, 38 percent to 50, with 9 percent of
likely voters undecided, according to The Hill 2010 Midterm Election
Poll.

{mosads}Southerland leads among males, females and middle-aged and older voters. He’s also winning 12 percent of Democrats.

Boyd,
meanwhile, has high unfavorable ratings. The poll found 54 percent of
voters gave him unfavorable marks to the 34 percent who rated him
favorably.

President Obama also gets negative marks from
voters, with 61 percent disapproving of the job he’s doing. That could
come back to hurt Boyd, as 68 percent said the president is an
important factor in their decision.

Plus, Republicans are
investing big to win this district. The National Republican
Congressional Committee (NRCC) has spent almost $668,000, while the
Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC) has spent about
$167,000. Outside groups have also spent heavily in this district.

Boyd
is a seven-term lawmaker and member of the conservative Blue Dog
Coalition. He’s been endorsed by the National Rifle Association (NRA)
and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which doesn’t seem to be helping him
in this GOP-leaning district.

Though he is a longtime GOP
target, Boyd won reelection with a comfortable 62 percent last cycle
and hasn’t faced a close contest until this year.

Southerland
has benefited from Tea Party ties. He’s criticized Boyd for voting for
the healthcare bill and tried to tie him to Speaker Nancy Pelosi
(D-Calif.) — a tactic that could be working, as 52 percent of voters
said Boyd’s time in Washington was a reason to vote against him.
Southerland has been endorsed by former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin and
Minnesota Gov. Tim Pawlenty, and House GOP leader John Boehner (Ohio)
campaigned for him in Florida.

The Hill poll was conducted
Oct. 16-19 by Penn Schoen Berland. The survey consisted of 399 phone
interviews among likely voters and has a margin of error of plus or
minus 4.9 percent.

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 4

Looming anti-Obama midterm vote may not carry through to 2012
Likely voters throw a wrench into GOP budget plans
This campaign is the nastiest, voters say

Blowout: 50 or more Dem seats set to fall
Endangered species: Longterm incumbents
GOP tsunami ready to sweep the South
District by district
Data: The numbers the stories are based on
Editorial: Dems in deep danger

District by
district results

Colorado
Florida
Georgia
Indiana
Iowa
North Dakota
Pennsylvania
South Carolina
South Dakota
Texas

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 3

Pelosi ‘majority makers’ are facing electoral peril
Only 1-in-4 see American Dream as still there for all
Voters are not worried about ‘extreme’ label on candidates
District by district
Data: The numbers the stories are based on
Editorial: Election tides

District by
district results

Arizona
Illinois
Mississippi
New Hampshire
New York
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin

The Hill 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 2

Voters more likely to see Dems as dominated by extremists
Independents prefer cutting the deficit to spending on jobs
Democrats have edge on question of extending Bush tax cuts
Republicans are up in 8 of 10 open House seats
After forty Dem years, Obey’s seat in jeopardy
Majority of voters say they want a viable third party
District by district
Data: The numbers the stories are based on
Editorial: The results so far

District by

district results

Arkansas
Illinois
West Virginia
Hawaii
New Hampshire

Pennsylvania
Michigan

Tennessee
Washington

The Hill/ANGA 2010 Midterm
Election Poll Stories WEEK 1

Voters: Nancy Pelosi did not drain swamp
Tea Party is firing up the Democrats
Republican voters more ‘passionate’ about voting in the midterm election

About the poll

GOP leads widely, Dems in danger but races tight

Feelings about Obama make midterms a national election

Independents prefer divided government, lean Republican

Distaste for healthcare law crosses party lines
Editorial: Knowing who will win

District by
district results

Arizona
Colorado
Illinois
Maryland
Michigan
Nevada
New Mexico
Ohio
Pennsylvania
Virginia