It’s Monday. It’s finally starting to feel like a brisk fall day in Washington, D.C. 🍂 All I want is an apple cider doughnut! Here are the highlights today:

• House Republicans are barreling toward a Tuesday Speaker vote while Rep. Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) is still short by dozens of votes.
• In an interview with CBS News’s “60 Minutes,” President Biden said that Israeli reoccupation of Gaza would be a “big mistake.”
• A federal judge has decided on whether to issue a gag order against former President Trump in his federal election interference trial.
• Rep. George Santos (R-N.Y.) got into a shouting match with an activist over Israel. Yes, there is video footage.

I’m Cate Martel with a quick recap of the morning and what’s coming up. Send tips, commentary, feedback and cookie recipes to cmartel@digital-stage.thehill.com. Did someone forward this newsletter to you? Sign up here.  

Austin. Jim. Scott. Jordan.

House Judiciary Chairman Jim Jordan (R-Ohio) won the (latest) nomination for Speaker on Friday, beating last-minute challenger Rep. Austin Scott (R-Ga.) in a 124-81 vote.

Yes, but: Jordan needs a lot more than 124 votes to become Speaker — 217 votes to be exact.

What we know about the numbers: House Republicans held a follow-up vote to gauge Jordan’s popularity within the caucus. When asked if they would vote “yes” for Jordan in a floor vote, 55 Republicans said “no.” He can only afford a handful of defections, so he has a long way to go.

^ UPDATE — Jordan picks off more votes: House Armed Services Committee Chairman Mike Rogers (R-Ala.) announced that he will support Jordan’s Speaker bid. On Friday, Rogers told reporters there was nothing Jordan could do to win his support, so this is a big deal.

• Rep. Ann Wagner (R-Mo.), who told multiple news outlets last week that she wouldn’t support Jordan, also reversed and threw her support behind him on Monday.
  
  
• Also backing Jordan: Rep. Ken Calvert (R-Calif.), chairman of the House Defense Appropriations Subcommittee.

FIRST IN THE HILL: Jordan sent a “Dear Colleague” letter to House Republicans on Monday morning calling for unity. Read more

Ready or not, here he comes: Even without the votes, House Republicans are barreling toward a floor vote on Jordan on Tuesday, according to House Democratic Whip Katherine Clark (Mass.). (Reuters)

What to expect: The Jordan floor vote could be reminiscent of the very public 15-ballot brawl that former Speaker Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) endured in January to eventually win the gavel.

McCarthy is out, Scalise dropped out, Jordan is short on votes — who is left?: Republican Study Committee Chairman Kevin Hern (R-Okla.) and House GOP conference Vice Chairman Mike Johnson (R-La.) are two possible contenders. (The Hill)

What if Republicans never agree on a Speaker?: Rep. Mike Turner (R-Ohio) told CBS News’s “Face the Nation” that a “deal will have to be done” with Democrats if Republicans cannot elect a Speaker.

Live blog of updates in the Speaker saga

Republicans seem far from rallying around one Republican to elect as Speaker. In the meantime, Democrats are warming to the idea of giving Speaker Pro Tempore Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.) more powers so he can work on the looming government funding deadline. (The Hill)

To put it lightly: “Senators return to Washington this week feeling completely flummoxed by the turmoil in the House and with no clear idea of whether House Republicans will elect a Speaker anytime soon. Republican senators have called on their House colleagues to unify behind a Speaker as quickly as possible, but that plea has fallen flat.”

Why senators are particularly concerned: It raises serious doubts about whether Congress can pass a government funding bill by Nov. 17, as well passing aid to Israel and Ukraine. Senate Republicans are also worried about this debacle hurting their chances of retaking the Senate or the White House in 2024.

More on the feeling in the Senate, via The Hill’s Alexander Bolton

“Rep. George Santos (R-N.Y.) got in a heated exchange with an activist over Israel — and his holding of a baby — on Friday in one of the House office buildings near the Capitol that ended with him walking away while cursing and calling the activist ‘scum.’” (The Hill)

Watch the shouting match — it happened in the Longworth House Office building.

CBS’s Scott Pelley sat down with President Biden for a “60 Minutes” interview that aired on Sunday.

The biggest news from the interview — Biden urged Israel not to occupy Gaza: “I think it’d be a big mistake,” Biden said of Israel occupying Gaza, adding that he doesn’t believe the “extreme elements of Hamas” represent the Palestinian people. “But going in but taking out the extremists — the Hezbollah is up north but Hamas down south — is a necessary requirement.”

Read the interview transcript

Former President Trump bashed CBS’s “60 Minutes” for its Biden interview, accusing the network of helping Biden “along like a lost child.”

Trump posted on Truth Social: “Each question contained the answer, and was so weakly and apologetically asked that it was a JOKE which should be considered a campaign contribution to the Democrat Party.” Read Trump’s full post

No, really. What can he say?

A federal judge just issued a limited gag order on former President Trump, barring him from slamming witnesses in the election interference case. (The Hill)

Why?: “The gag order is designed to address what prosecutors called ‘disparaging and inflammatory’ remarks about nearly everyone involved in the Jan. 6 case, comments they say could taint the jury pool and intimidate witnesses who might be called to testify against Trump.”

Did Trump attend the hearing?: No.

Trump had a few words to say about the gag order: Trump said the order is trying “to silence me, through the use of a powerful GAG ORDER, making it impossible for me to criticize those who are doing the silencing, namely Crooked Joe Biden, and his corrupt and weaponized DOJ & FBI.”

Keep in mind about the gag order: “The order actually would allow Trump to criticize President Biden as well as the Justice Department, though the department asked that the gag order limit Trump’s potential attacks on the team of special counsel Jack Smith. It also allows Trump to still talk about the case, including proclaiming his innocence.” (The Hill)

The Hill’s Zach Schonfeld noted that Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene (R-Ga.) was spotted inside the courthouse for Trump’s gag order hearing.

“With a diplomatic breakthrough increasingly uncertain, Gaza faced an intensifying humanitarian crisis as more than half a million people fled their homes for the enclave’s south amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes and shortages of critical supplies like water and fuel.” (The New York Times)

‘Clashes Intensify as Israel Prepares Gaza Invasion’: “Israeli forces struck Gaza in the south on Sunday ahead of an imminent ground attack and amid a growing humanitarian crisis, as fighting between Israel and Islamic militants along its northern border with Lebanon intensified.” (The Wall Street Journal)

Israel says 199 people are held hostage in Gaza: That is a higher number than previous estimates. National Security Council spokesperson John Kirby said last week that a “very small” number of Americans are among the hostages. (The Hill)

A landlord in Illinois has been arrested and charged with murder and hate crimes for allegedly stabbing and killing a 6-year-old Muslim boy. The boy’s mother was seriously injured.

• ‘The Hamas attacks were a failure of intelligence — and they’re more common than you might think’: Op-ed in The Hill
• ‘Israelis Gird for a Deeper War Amid a Crisis of Trust in the Government’: The New York Times
• ‘Inside Gaza’s Last Catholic Parish’: The Atlantic
• ‘Confusion on Gaza-Egypt border over possible cease-fire and aid deal’: The Washington Post
• ‘How the Israel-Hamas War Is Tilting the Global Power Balance in Favor of Russia, China’: The Wall Street Journal

🍸 Celebrate: Today is National Liqueur Day. And it’s also National Sports Day!

🖼️ Inside the most exclusive museum in the U.S., which most people haven’t seen yet: The Wall Street Journal’s Kristina Peterson writes, “He started working late nights and weekends. ‘His daughter wondered if he was having an affair. He was actually building a museum — inside the USDA.” (The Wall Street Journal)

🏠 How much Americans need to earn to afford rent: Here’s a list of what hourly rate workers in each state would need to make to afford a two-bedroom rental. (Buzzfeed)  

🗣️ The top dogs: Nominations are open for The Hill’s 2023 Top Lobbyists list. Nominate a lobbyist. (Kind of disappointed it isn’t actually about the top canines in D.C., though)

🪑The five Senate seats most likely to flip: West Virginia, Montana, Ohio, Arizona and Pennsylvania. Primer on each race

• Two of those senators have had fundraising troubles: “Sens. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.) and Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) saw a significant drop in their third-quarter fundraising, raising questions about their political futures.” (Politico)  

✌️‘A 15-year-old known for tough questions was kicked out of a GOP event’: He was accused of being a Democratic operative, but was later allowed back in. (The Washington Post)

The House and Senate are in. Vice President Harris is in Los Angeles with no public events scheduled. (all times Eastern)

• 2:30 p.m.: Former President Trump campaigns in Adel, Iowa. C-SPAN livestream
• 5:30 p.m.: The Senate hold a cloture vote on a nomination. Today’s agenda
• 6 p.m.: The House returns

Because you made it this far, here’s a hamster enjoying a delicious snack.