New ABC/WaPost poll finds Trump edging Biden in Arizona, Florida
President Trump has a slight advantage over Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden among likely voters in Arizona and Florida, according to new polls.
The latest ABC News-Washington Post poll finds Trump leading Biden in Florida 51 percent to 47 percent among likely voters. When the universe of voters is expanded to include all registered voters, Biden has a slight 48 to 47 advantage.
In Arizona, the poll found Trump at 49 percent and Biden at 48 percent among likely voters. In the larger pool of registered voters, Biden leads 49 to 47. The poll also found a tight race for Senate in Arizona, with Democrat Mark Kelly at 49 percent and Sen. Martha McSally (R) at 48 percent among likely voters.
The ABC News-Washington Post survey is one of only two major polls in Arizona since July to find Trump with a lead. Biden has a 4.1-point advantage in Arizona, according to the RealClearPolitics average. A recent New York Times-Siena College poll released last week found Biden ahead by 9 points in Arizona, although most other recent polls have found a much closer race.
Trump carried Arizona by less than 4 points in 2016. The state has only gone for the Democratic presidential nominee once in the past 50 years.
Biden leads Trump by 25 points in Arizona among registered Hispanic voters, but Trump makes up ground by having near universal support among Republicans, who have a 7-point registration advantage over Democrats.
Trump has a 15-point advantage over Biden on the economy in Arizona, while Biden has only a 4-point advantage on who would better handle the coronavirus.
In Florida, the ABC News-Washington Post survey is again one of only two surveys since July to find Trump with a lead, although polls have long found a tight race in the perennial swing state.
Biden is dragged down in the ABC News-Washington Post poll by his support among Hispanics, leading Trump by 13 points. Democrat Hillary Clinton, who narrowly lost Florida in 2016, carried Hispanics by more than 25 points.
Trump has an 11-point advantage on the economy in Florida, while Biden leads by 5 points on the pandemic.
The ABC News-Washington Post poll was conducted Sept. 15-Sept. 20. The surveys of 613 likely voters in Florida and 579 likely voters in Arizona have 4.5-point margins of error.