27 percent say Trump’s conviction makes them more likely to support him: Poll

More than a quarter of voters in a poll said former President Trump’s conviction in his New York hush money case makes them more likely to support the presumptive GOP nominee.

The survey from Emerson College Polling released Thursday revealed that 4 in 10 voters said the former president’s conviction in his first criminal case made no impact on whom they will vote for in November.

A third of them, 33 percent, said the Manhattan jury’s decision to convict him makes them less likely to back the Republican Party’s leader. 

“Trump’s support in our polling remained the same before and after his conviction,” said Spencer Kimball, the executive director of Emerson College Polling.

The New York jury handed a historic decision last week, convicting the former president on 34 felony counts of falsifying business records. Trump has continued to state that he did nothing wrong and his team will likely appeal the decision. 

Trump’s support among registered voters has remained around the same, with 46 percent backing him in the poll. He had the same percentage in the April iteration of the poll. His lead over President Biden, his main general election rival, dropped from 3 points to 1 point. 

The majority of Democrats surveyed, 51 percent, said the conviction makes them less likely to support Trump, while the majority of Republicans, 55 percent, said it makes them more likely to back the former president, according to the poll. With independents, 41 percent said it made an impact. Around 38 percent said they are less likely to vote for the former president while 21 percent stated they were more likely to pick him at the ballot box. 

Trump is set to be sentenced July 11, just four days before the 2024 Republican National Convention. In the poll, 40 percent of voters said he should get prison time. A quarter said he should pay a fine, while 15 percent he should be on probation. 

The poll was conducted June 4-5 among 1,000 registered voters. The margin of error was 3 percentage points.