Majority of swing-state voters in new poll wouldn’t vote for Trump if convicted

A majority of voters in swing states say they wouldn’t vote for former President Trump in the upcoming election if he were convicted of a crime, a poll released Wednesday found.

The Bloomberg News/Morning Consult survey found that among voters in the swing states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin, 53 percent of respondents said they were unwilling to vote for the former president if he is convicted in one of his multiple criminal cases.

Forty-six percent of respondents said they are “very unwilling” to cast their ballot for Trump if he is found guilty, while 7 percent said they are “somewhat unwilling.” Twenty-nine percent of respondents said they were “very willing” to vote for Trump if he is convicted of a crime, and 11 percent said they are “somewhat wiling.”

The survey found that female voters, voters over 65 and voters with a bachelor’s or post-graduate degree were more likely to say they were unwilling to vote for the former president if he is convicted.

Black and Asian voters were also more likely to say they would not vote for Trump if he is convicted. Three-quarters of respondents who identified as atheist said they would be unwilling to vote for Trump if he is found guilty.

People who voted for Trump in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections were less likely to say a conviction would change their mind this time around, the survey found.

The former president is facing four separate indictments and has been charged with more than 90 felony counts, in addition to a civil fraud case expected to be decided this week.

The survey was conducted Jan. 16-22 among 4,956 voters in seven swing states. The results have a margin of error of 1 percentage point.