Haley tops GOP candidates against Biden in swing state match-ups: Poll

GOP presidential candidate Nikki Haley outperforms former President Trump in head-to-head match-ups with President Biden in key swing states in 2024, according to a poll released Sunday.

The latest New York Times/Siena College poll surveyed registered voters in key battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Trump beats Biden in all but one state — Wisconsin, while Haley, the former South Carolina governor, beats Biden in all six states. She leads by a wider margin than Trump in four of the six.

In Arizona, Haley is up 7 points on Biden, while Trump is up 5 points. In Michigan, Haley has a 10-point edge, compared to 5 for Trump. In Pennsylvania, Haley takes it by 10 points and Trump by 4 points. In Wisconsin, Haley has a 13-point lead, and Trump trails Biden by 2 points.

The poll found Trump maintains a larger lead in Georgia and Nevada. In Georgia, Trump leads Biden by 6 points, and Haley leads Biden by 3 points. In Nevada, Trump is up 11 points, and Haley is up 6 points. 

The numbers could feed the growing enthusiasm behind Haley’s campaign, which has seen a boost in recent polls as other campaigns have struggled to get off the ground. According to recent numbers, she has rivaled Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis as the likely No. 2 candidate after Trump, who still maintains his strong lead in the polls.

Haley’s popularity in the general election could stand at odds with a successful primary bid, which would need to attract the support of many Trump backers who take a more isolationist foreign policy view. 

Haley, who served as Trump’s former ambassador to the United Nations, has embraced her hawkish foreign policy positions on the trail. She has been an unequivocal supporter of aid for Ukraine and Israel. 

The poll was conducted by cell and landline phone from Oct. 22 through Nov. 3. The battleground states have margins of error of 4.4 percentage points in Arizona, Michigan and Nevada; 4.5 percentage points in Georgia; 4.6 percentage points in Pennsylvania; and 4.8 percentage points in Wisconsin.

–Updated at 2:03 p.m.