Biden leads Trump by 6 points in Florida: poll

Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden leads President Trump by 6 points in the pivotal state of Florida, according to a Morning Consult poll released Monday.

Biden leads the president, 51.5 percent to 45.4 percent, in the polling firm’s final preelection tracking survey.

The survey comes as Biden has built a razor-thin advantage in Sunshine State polls, with an average lead of just 1 point, according to RealClearPolitics. The Morning Consult poll is one of only a few showing the race outside the margin of error.

In Florida, Biden leads Trump by 6 points, outside of the margin of error:

– Biden 51.5%
– Trump 45.4%https://t.co/jLPH4hBZSn pic.twitter.com/e9apKdFqDO

— Morning Consult (@MorningConsult) November 2, 2020

The new poll is essentially unchanged from last week’s, which showed Biden leading 52 percent to 45 percent, with 2 percent of respondents undecided.

Florida is set to be a decisive state in the race, due to the large number of mail-in ballots set to be cast in other battlegrounds such as Pennsylvania. The president has frequently cast doubt on mail-in ballots and falsely suggested those counted after Election Day are illegitimate. But a Biden win in Florida, which is likely to be called election night, could close off Trump’s paths to victory in the Electoral College.

Morning Consult surveyed 4,451 likely Florida voters between Oct. 22 and Oct. 31. The results have a 2-point margin of error.

The poll also found Biden with a national lead of 8 points over Trump, 51.9 percent to 43.9 percent.

In contrast to the 2016 presidential election, where both presidential candidates had net negative approvals, the new Morning Consult survey shows Biden with 6-point net positive favorability. Fifty-two percent of respondents approve of the former vice president, compared to 46 percent who disapprove. Forty-four percent of respondents approve of Trump versus 55 percent who disapprove.