OVERNIGHT CAMPAIGN: Rangel’s judgement day

by Cameron Joseph and Emily Goodin - 06/26/12 10:06 PM ET

South Carolina has a run-off congressional primary. Polls close there at 7 p.m. ET. And polls close in Colorado at 9 p.m. ET.

TOMORROW’S AGENDA TODAY: Mitt Romney will be campaigning in Sterling, Va., his second day of campaigning in the state.

{mosads}President Obama will have lunch with Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed Bin Zayed at the White House. Later in the day he’ll attend a campaign fundraiser at the Jefferson Hotel in Washington. In the evening, the Obamas will host a picnic for members of Congress on the South Lawn.

Vice President Biden finishes his two-day campaign swing in Iowa with stops in Duburque and Clinton.

TWEET OF THE DAY: “We agree with you @BarackObama. We thank @RedSox for Youkilis too.” — The official twitter account of the Chicago White Sox, tweeting their support for President Obama

QUOTE OF THE DAY: “I didn’t run for student council president. I don’t see myself in any way in elective office.” — Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice on “CBS This Morning,” after being asked about speculation should could be the GOP nominee

POLL POSITION:

President Obama leads Mitt Romney in the crucial swing state of Ohio, but his three-point lead in the latest Public Policy Polling survey is his lowest since last October.

Obama holds a narrow lead in Colorado, 47 percent to 43, and Romney favored in Virginia, 48 percent to 43, according to a We Ask America survey.

Romney has at least one demographic group squarely in his corner headed into November: Mormons. Some 77 percent of Utah Mormons said they are “very excited” or “somewhat excited” that Romney — himself a practicing member of the Church of Jesus Christ of Latter-day Saints — has effectively clinched the Republican nomination, according to the Religion News Service.

AD WATCH:

A new trio of campaign ads from President Obama‘s reelection team is doubling down on criticism of Mitt Romney’s Bain Capital tenure, arguing the presumptive GOP nominee would serve as an “outsourcer in chief” if he won the White House.

BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE:

Minnesota: A poll from Rep. Michele Bachmann‘s (R-Minn.) opponent, Democrat Jim Graves, shows her with a narrow 48-43 lead in the race. The newly drawn district is pretty safely Republican — President Obama would have won just 43 percent of its vote in the 2008 electin — and partisan polls should never be taken at face value. But Graves is a multimillionaire, and while he’s said he won’t self-fund his campaign, if he changes his mind he could force her to run a real race.

New Jersey: Rabbi Shmuley Boteach, who is running for Congress as a Republican to represent New Jersey, will tout the support of reality TV star Jon Gosselin on Wednesday.

Ohio: Rep. Steve Stivers (R-Ohio) isn’t a shoo-in for reelection, according to a new poll conducted for his Democratic opponent, Pat Lang. The poll, conducted by Public Policy Polling and obtained by The Hill, shows Stivers leading Lang 43 percent to 33 percent in the Republican-leaning district.

Oregon: An internal poll for Rep. Peter DeFazio (D-Ore.) shows him leading his opponent by 60 to 32 percent. Republicans have argued the race could become competitive, but DeFazio beat the same candidate by a double-digit margin in the 2010 GOP wave election and the district leans slightly Democratic.

SENATE SHOWDOWN:

Massachusetts: Sen. Scott Brown (R-Mass.) and Democrat Elizabeth Warren are tied at 46 percent support apiece, according to a new poll from the Democratic-affiliated Public Policy Polling.

Missouri: Sen. Claire McCaskill (D-Mo.), one of President Obama‘s biggest surrogates in 2008, will skip this summer’s Democratic National Convention. The announcement makes McCaskill, who faces a tough reelection bid, the latest red-state Democrat to announce she won’t be in Charlotte, N.C., in early September.

Montana: A pro-military Democratic outside group is out with a forceful new ad in Montana today, slamming Rep. Denny Rehberg (R-Mont.) for voting against expanded funding for research for prosthetics for wounded servicemen.

North Dakota: The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee is reserving $1.2 million worth of airtime in North Dakota, the latest sign that it’s serious about helping former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp (D) keep the seat in Democratic hands despite the state’s Republican tilt.

Ohio: The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee has reserved $5.1 million of fall airtime in Ohio, a sign it believes Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) faces a serious threat from state Treasurer Josh Mandel (R).

Wisconsin: The Tea Party-affiliated FreedomWorks is unlikely to get involved in Wisconsin’s four-way GOP Senate primary, a group spokesman told The Hill, which is a good sign for former Gov. Tommy Thompson (R). And Senate candidate Eric Hovde released his fifth TV ad, titled “Taxes.” He has spent more than $3 million of his own funds on ads.

VEEPSTAKES:

Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) laughed off his missed appearance on “The Daily Show” last week, telling host Jon Stewart that the Senate had specifically voted to keep him from the late-night show.

Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell (R) refused to say whether he’s being vetted for Veep.

IN CASE YOU MISSED IT:

Vice President Biden said Mitt Romney is a “job creator,” but charged him with creating those jobs overseas. “Give Mitt Romney credit: He is a job creator. In Singapore. And China. And India,” Biden said at a campaign stop in Waterloo, Iowa.

Romney argued Tuesday that if the president’s signature healthcare legislation were to be overturned Thursday by the Supreme Court, it would mean that President Obama‘s first term was a waste.

White House press secretary Jay Carney criticized press reports Tuesday that said donors in Boston booed the president when he made a joke about the Red Sox’s trade of popular third baseman Kevin Youkilis.

Democrats canceled an event at the Charlotte Motor Speedway that was designed to open the Democratic National Convention this summer.

Obama, ahead of a fundraiser in Atlanta, stopped at Varsity, a renowned and historic drive-in diner that has been around since 1928. He ordered a chilidog, and spent several minutes taking orders from members of his senior staff, who chose between chilidogs and plain hotdogs. He also ordered five “Varsity orange” drinks, a signature dessert drink. The president paid in cash.

Michelle Obama and Ann Romney are participating in this year’s “Presidential Cookie Bake-Off,” a tradition hosted by Family Circle magazine. Obama has submitted a recipe for white and dark chocolate chip cookies, while Romney’s chosen treat is M&M cookies.

Please send tips and comments to Emily Goodin, egoodin@digital-stage.thehill.com; Cameron Joseph, cjoseph@digital-stage.thehill.com; and Justin Sink, jsink@digital-stage.thehill.com

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